Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.014866 0.018449 0.023099 0.029763 0.039393 0.053384 0.076482
2025-01-12 0.010426 0.014154 0.019694 0.029080 0.045939 0.078462 0.158884
2025-01-19 0.008692 0.012543 0.018838 0.030954 0.057078 0.123343 0.390192
2025-01-26 0.007760 0.011772 0.018877 0.034209 0.073750 0.210373 1.370270
2025-02-02 0.007072 0.011180 0.018964 0.037573 0.094707 0.375961 10.312874
2025-02-09 0.006267 0.010178 0.017932 0.037835 0.107489 0.576166 552.919980
2025-02-16 0.005645 0.009382 0.017089 0.038183 0.121879 0.922733 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005118 0.008668 0.016234 0.038113 0.135419 1.499226 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004566 0.007819 0.014885 0.035997 0.136794 2.002392 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004167 0.007224 0.014007 0.035051 0.144403 3.126221 NaN
2025-03-16 0.003913 0.006892 0.013693 0.035882 0.165815 7.298309 NaN
2025-03-23 0.003641 0.006485 0.013110 0.035536 0.179487 16.764838 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003290 0.005908 0.012097 0.033618 0.181779 37.655586 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003023 0.005487 0.011425 0.032841 0.195549 270.690932 NaN
2025-04-13 0.002893 0.005349 0.011474 0.035062 0.251882 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002817 0.005323 0.011823 0.038940 0.361478 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002741 0.005282 0.012125 0.042975 0.531011 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002588 0.005037 0.011756 0.043290 0.631353 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002454 0.004820 0.011432 0.043709 0.760674 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002323 0.004599 0.011054 0.043626 0.891375 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002165 0.004291 0.010342 0.041081 0.868818 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002043 0.004068 0.009877 0.039947 0.931927 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.001966 0.003950 0.009741 0.040944 1.197220 NaN NaN